A recession is defined by two consecutive quarters of decline in GDP, but the current macroeconomic reality is far more ...

The Treasury yield curve, which has historically inverted leading up to recessions, is steepening, a sign the US economy ...

Barring major shocks including an expanded war in the Middle East, higher oil prices, or a new flare-up of the banking crisis, a recession remains a low-probability event, says one finance expert.

“U.S. Economic Growth Expected to Flatline in 2025. Tariffs Are the Main Reason.” – Barron’s (April 15, 2025) “If they don’t change the tariffs, it’s ...

The United States is not in a recession, but the normal economic cycle means it will be at some point.