The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported better-than-expected payrolls for April, but there are troubling signs in temporary staffing and revision trends. The U.S. labor market was red-hot in 2020-21 ...

There are many ways to monitor recession risk, but any one indicator in isolation is flawed. In the search of early warning signs of trouble, it’s useful to focus on the labor market, which is ...

It’s been five years since we published the first article on the “weirdest chart ever,” which shows the cyclical relationship between implied volatility on equity index options (represented by the VIX ...