Discover how coincident indicators reflect current economic conditions, their role in analyzing business cycles, and their impact on understanding economic trends.

Discover leading, coincident, and lagging business cycle indicators to predict economic trends, using insights from the Conference Board.

There’s an old joke in economics that stock markets have predicted nine out of the past five recessions. The point being that predicting a recession solely based on the stock market is difficult.

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Nick writes about economics, financial markets and investing. Following the soft July jobs report that showed a 4.3% unemployment ...

Lagging indicators are widely used to measure business, economic, and financial market trends. Lagging indicators measure events that have already happened. Lagging indicators lack predictive power ...

Fears of a recession are back on investors’ minds. But predicting the onset of an economic downturn, let alone the length and severity of one, is difficult even for the experts. As a rule of thumb, ...

Capital at risk. The value of your investments can go up and down, and you may get back less than you invest. Accurate at the point of publication. Increasingly, investors are using technical analysis ...