As tensions in the Middle East mount, the prospect of U . S . military involvement mdash;particularly against Iranian strategic assets mdash;raises critical questions about policy, deterrence, and the ...

Although hostilities between Pakistan and India have temporarily ceased, strategic analysts widely anticipate the possibility ...

In the early hours of June 1, 2025, Ukraine launched a bold, coordinated drone assault deep into Russian territory, dubbed Operation Spider’s Web. The targets were not tactical vehicles or ...

In Tibet and other border regions, such infrastructure serves a dual role: promoting Beijing’s governance while implicitly threatening to “turn off the tap” or isolate adversaries. 12 Thus, critical ...

This is how the puzzle of escalation squares with de-escalation. My point is rooted in what economics Nobel-laureate Thomas Schelling called a threat that leaves something to chance — make it credible ...

Traditional deterrence theory, developed during the Cold War by thinkers like Bernard Brodie, Thomas Schelling, and Glenn Snyder, presupposed a set of strategic conditions: rational unitary actors, a ...

Thomas Schelling’s theory of “the threat that leaves something to chance” was subtly invoked: India maneuvered just below the threshold of nuclear retaliation, creating ambiguity and stress within ...

Military reporting is witnessing a proliferation of attention-grabbing jargon on military, national security and strategy-related issues.

Revisiting the insights of Thomas Schelling, it becomes clear that deterrence does not rest solely on weapons stockpiles. What matters more is a state’s credibility in its ability to respond and ...

We can’t ask Schelling to weigh in on Ukraine today (he died in 2016). But here’s what he wrote about American troops — and obliquely about their British and French partners as well ...

Credibility: Every devil in every detail is wrapped up in that one word. The concept is so slippery that it has kept strategists busy at least since US academic Thomas Schelling (who later won a Nobel ...

So if the west does abandon Ukraine, game theory suggests that the world should expect a proliferation of nuclear powers. Each will need to learn, as Russia and the US have, to live on the ...