U.S. President Donald Trump’s efforts to cement his legacy in the Middle East were well underway even before he reclaimed the White House. “There’s just no way that President Trump isn’t going to be ...

When headlines include a cause-effect conclusion based on correlational evidence, that’s the false cause fallacy, and it can mislead the public with concerning consequences. I’ve previously ...

The failure to understand independence lies at the heart of two famous phenomena: the gambler's fallacy and the "hot hand" in sports. When we do understand independence, we can make better ...